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Birmingham City v Bristol City prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 57%
Birmingham 57% Draw 24% Bristol 19%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price1.76 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 57%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City All games L L W D W
0–1 v BBR 1–2 at IPS 2–0 v WXH 1–1 at HUL 2–1 v PNE
Bristol City All games W W D L D
2–1 at CHA 1–0 v SHU 0–0 at QPR 2–4 v NOR 2–2 at SOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Birmingham City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Bristol City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBirminghamDrawBristol
WilliamHill 1.85 3.50 4.00
bet365 1.80 3.80 4.20
Betfair 1.33 5.00 7.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Birmingham City v Bristol City: prediction and result

Birmingham City hosted Bristol City in the Championship on Saturday 25 April and won 2–1.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Preston North End.

Bristol City are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Southampton.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Birmingham, 5.00 for the draw and 7.50 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 57% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
2–2 FT Southampton v Bristol City Southampton to win 64% 5–1 FT Coventry City v Portsmouth Coventry City to win 62% 3–0 FT West Bromwich Albion v Watford West Bromwich Albion to win 54% 1–3 FT Stoke City v Millwall Millwall to win 48% 2–1 FT Norwich City v Derby County Norwich City to win 47% 2–2 FT Leicester City v Hull City Leicester City to win 44% 1–2 FT Queens Park Rangers v Swansea City Queens Park Rangers to win 43% 0–1 FT Oxford United v Wrexham Oxford United to win 37%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.