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Burton Albion v Exeter City prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Burton Albion to win 48%
Burton 48% Draw 25% Exeter 27%
Best price3.00 Betfair Fair price2.08 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBurton Albion to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion All games L D D W D
0–1 at BLK 1–1 v BRS 0–0 at MAN 1–0 v AWM 1–1 at PTU
Exeter City All games D L W D D
0–0 v LEY 0–1 at BLK 3–0 v DNR 2–2 at PLA 3–3 v STO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 3 of Burton Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Exeter City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurtonDrawExeter
Betfair 3.00 3.50 2.20
bet365 1.75 3.70 4.33
WilliamHill 1.67 3.80 4.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burton Albion v Exeter City: prediction and result

Burton Albion hosted Exeter City in the League One on Saturday 25 April, and it finished 1–1.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Peterborough United.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw at home to Stockport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Burton, 3.80 for the draw and 4.50 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Burton Albion to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 3.00 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.08, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.