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Luton Town v Barnsley prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Luton Town to win 59%
Luton 59% Draw 23% Barnsley 18%
Best price1.62 Betfair Fair price1.69 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games W W W D W
2–1 v PTU 3–0 at AWM 2–1 v NHT 2–2 at MAN 2–0 at RTU
Barnsley All games L W D D L
0–3 v PLA 3–1 at RTU 0–0 at PTV 2–2 v BDC 0–1 at STV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 6 of Luton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Barnsley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawBarnsley
Betfair 1.62 3.50 5.50
bet365 1.45 4.20 5.25
WilliamHill 1.44 4.40 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Barnsley: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Barnsley in the League One on Saturday 25 April and won 2–1.

Luton Town are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Rotherham United.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Stevenage.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Luton, 4.40 for the draw and 5.50 for Barnsley. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.62 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.69. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

All League One picks that week →
0–1 FT Stockport County v Mansfield Town Stockport County to win 59% 0–2 FT Rotherham United v Luton Town Luton Town to win 56% 1–0 FT Stevenage v Barnsley Stevenage to win 50% 0–2 FT Doncaster Rovers v Lincoln City Lincoln City to win 41% 1–1 FT Bradford City v Plymouth Argyle Bradford City to win 38% 1–0 FT Cardiff City v Port Vale Cardiff City to win 68% 3–1 FT Stockport County v Peterborough United Stockport County to win 61% 1–1 FT Doncaster Rovers v Stevenage Stevenage to win 43%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.