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Middlesbrough v Watford prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 12:30 Championship Full time 5–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Middlesbrough to win 60%
Middlesbrough 60% Draw 22% Watford 18%
Best price1.55 WilliamHill Fair price1.68 from our 60%

How we got to 60%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 63%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 60%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Middlesbrough All games L D L D W
1–2 v MLW 2–2 at SWA 0–1 v PTM 2–2 at IPS 1–0 v SHF
Watford All games L D L L L
1–2 at QPR 1–1 v CHA 0–2 at OXF 0–2 v SHU 0–3 at WBA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Middlesbrough's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Watford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMiddlesbroughDrawWatford
WilliamHill 1.55 4.20 5.00
Betfair 1.53 4.00 5.50
bet365 1.38 5.00 7.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Middlesbrough v Watford: prediction and result

Middlesbrough hosted Watford in the Championship on Saturday 25 April and won 5–1.

Middlesbrough are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Sheffield Wednesday.

Watford are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at West Bromwich Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.55 for Middlesbrough, 5.00 for the draw and 7.50 for Watford. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 66% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 60% chance. The market puts it at 63% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 60%. The best price, 1.55 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.68. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.