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Plymouth Argyle v Port Vale prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Plymouth Argyle to win 67%
Plymouth 67% Draw 18% Port Vale 15%
Best price1.33 bet365 Fair price1.50 from our 67%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 76%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 67%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games L W D W D
1–2 v BOL 3–0 at BRS 2–2 v EXE 3–1 at AWM 1–1 at BDC
Port Vale All games W D W D L
1–0 v RTU 0–0 v BRS 3–1 at PTU 0–0 v WIG 0–1 at CDF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 5 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Port Vale's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawPort Vale
bet365 1.33 5.25 8.00
WilliamHill 1.30 5.00 8.00
Betfair 1.07 11.00 26.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Port Vale: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Port Vale in the League One on Saturday 25 April and won 2–1.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Bradford City.

Port Vale are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Cardiff City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.33 for Plymouth, 11.00 for the draw and 26.00 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 85% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 67% chance. The market puts it at 76% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 67%. The best price, 1.33 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.50. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.