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Stoke City v Portsmouth prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stoke City to win 39%
Stoke 39% Draw 31% Portsmouth 29%
Best price2.88 Betfair Fair price2.54 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStoke City to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stoke City All games W L D L L
2–0 v SHF 0–2 at DRB 1–1 v BBR 0–2 at WXH 1–3 v MLW
Portsmouth All games D W W W L
2–2 v OXF 1–0 at MID 2–0 v IPS 1–0 v LEI 1–5 at CVC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 5 of Stoke City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Portsmouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStokeDrawPortsmouth
Betfair 2.88 1.91 4.50
bet365 2.62 3.30 2.62
WilliamHill 2.25 3.40 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stoke City v Portsmouth: prediction and result

Stoke City hosted Portsmouth in the Championship on Saturday 25 April, and Portsmouth won 1–3 away from home.

Stoke City are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Millwall.

Portsmouth are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–5 defeat away at Coventry City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.88 for Stoke, 3.40 for the draw and 4.50 for Portsmouth. The bookmakers make Stoke City favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stoke City to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.88 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.54, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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2–2 FT Southampton v Bristol City Southampton to win 64% 5–1 FT Coventry City v Portsmouth Coventry City to win 62% 3–0 FT West Bromwich Albion v Watford West Bromwich Albion to win 54% 1–3 FT Stoke City v Millwall Millwall to win 48% 2–1 FT Norwich City v Derby County Norwich City to win 47% 2–2 FT Leicester City v Hull City Leicester City to win 44% 1–2 FT Queens Park Rangers v Swansea City Queens Park Rangers to win 43% 0–1 FT Oxford United v Wrexham Oxford United to win 37%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.