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Wigan Athletic v AFC Wimbledon prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Wigan Athletic to win 46%
Wigan 46% Draw 28% AFC Wimbledon 26%
Best price2.25 Betfair Fair price2.18 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWigan Athletic to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wigan Athletic All games D W W W D
0–0 v LEY 3–1 at NHT 2–1 v MAN 3–0 v RTU 0–0 at PTV
AFC Wimbledon All games L L L L L
0–1 at LNC 0–3 v LUT 0–1 at BRA 0–2 v STO 1–3 v PLA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 1 of Wigan Athletic's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWiganDrawAFC Wimbledon
Betfair 2.25 3.25 3.00
WilliamHill 2.20 3.20 3.20
bet365 2.20 3.40 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wigan Athletic v AFC Wimbledon: prediction and result

Wigan Athletic hosted AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Saturday 25 April, and AFC Wimbledon won 0–1 away from home.

Wigan Athletic are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Port Vale.

AFC Wimbledon are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Plymouth Argyle.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Wigan, 3.40 for the draw and 3.20 for AFC Wimbledon. The bookmakers make Wigan Athletic favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Wigan Athletic to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.25 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.18, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.