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Cheltenham Town v Colchester United prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Colchester United to win 47%
Cheltenham 28% Draw 25% Colchester 47%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.12 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cheltenham Town All games W W W L L
4–0 at WSL 2–1 v GLG 1–0 v NPT 1–3 v TRR 0–4 at BRR
Colchester United All games W W W L L
1–0 at TRR 3–0 v SWI 2–1 v ACC 0–1 at HAT 0–1 v NOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 5 of Cheltenham Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Colchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCheltenhamDrawColchester
Betfair 6.50 5.00 1.40
WilliamHill 3.10 3.50 2.10
bet365 3.10 3.50 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cheltenham Town v Colchester United: prediction and result

Cheltenham Town hosted Colchester United in the League Two on Saturday 2 May, and Colchester United won 1–4 away from home.

Cheltenham Town are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Bristol Rovers.

Colchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Notts County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 6.50 for Cheltenham, 5.00 for the draw and 2.15 for Colchester. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 57% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.12, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.