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Harrogate Town v Barnet prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Barnet to win 51%
Harrogate 25% Draw 24% Barnet 51%
Best price2.38 WilliamHill Fair price1.96 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 59%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnet to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Harrogate Town All games W L L W W
3–1 at GBT 2–3 v BRR 1–2 at NPT 1–0 v CLU 2–0 at WSL
Barnet All games D W W W W
2–2 v BMY 5–2 at FLT 3–2 v BRW 2–1 at NOT 6–2 v GLG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Harrogate Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Barnet's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerHarrogateDrawBarnet
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.57
bet365 2.75 3.60 2.30
WilliamHill 2.70 3.40 2.38
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Harrogate Town v Barnet: prediction and result

Harrogate Town hosted Barnet in the League Two on Saturday 2 May, and Barnet won 1–2 away from home.

Harrogate Town are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Walsall.

Barnet are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 18 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 6–2 win at home to Gillingham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.00 for Harrogate, 4.00 for the draw and 2.38 for Barnet. The bookmakers make Barnet favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnet to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 59%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 2.38 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.