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Notts County v Bristol Rovers prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Notts County to win 53%
Notts 53% Draw 23% Bristol 24%
Best price1.73 Betfair Fair price1.90 from our 53%

How we got to 53%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 53%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games L W L L W
1–2 at SAL 3–1 v NPT 0–4 at CMU 1–2 v BNT 1–0 at CLU
Bristol Rovers All games W W W W W
1–0 v FLT 3–2 at HAT 3–1 v CRT 2–1 at TRR 4–0 v CTT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 4 of Notts County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawBristol
Betfair 1.73 3.75 4.20
bet365 1.72 4.20 4.00
WilliamHill 1.67 3.90 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Bristol Rovers: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Saturday 2 May, and it finished 1–1.

Notts County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Colchester United.

Bristol Rovers are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Cheltenham Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.73 for Notts, 4.20 for the draw and 4.20 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 53% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 53%. The best price, 1.73 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.90. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.