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Gillingham v Shrewsbury Town prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Gillingham to win 48%
Gillingham 48% Draw 26% Shrewsbury 26%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price2.09 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGillingham to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Gillingham All games W D L L L
2–0 v ACC 0–0 at SAL 1–2 at CTT 1–4 v GBT 2–6 at BNT
Shrewsbury Town All games W L W D D
1–0 v TRR 1–2 at BMY 1–0 v OAT 0–0 at CRT 2–2 v FLT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Gillingham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Shrewsbury Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGillinghamDrawShrewsbury
WilliamHill 1.85 3.40 4.00
Betfair 1.83 3.50 4.00
bet365 1.83 3.60 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Gillingham v Shrewsbury Town: prediction and result

Gillingham hosted Shrewsbury Town in the League Two on Saturday 2 May and won 1–0.

Gillingham are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–6 defeat away at Barnet.

Shrewsbury Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Fleetwood Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Gillingham, 3.60 for the draw and 4.00 for Shrewsbury. The bookmakers make Gillingham favourites, at about 51% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Gillingham to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.09. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.