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Tranmere Rovers v Grimsby Town prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Grimsby Town to win 49%
Tranmere 26% Draw 25% Grimsby 49%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.04 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGrimsby Town to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Tranmere Rovers All games L D L W L
0–1 v CLU 1–1 at CST 1–2 v BRR 3–1 at CTT 0–3 at MKD
Grimsby Town All games W L W W W
3–2 v CAX 1–2 at CST 4–1 at GLG 2–1 at CMU 4–0 v SWI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Tranmere Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Grimsby Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerTranmereDrawGrimsby
Betfair 3.25 3.30 2.05
WilliamHill 3.10 3.40 2.10
bet365 3.00 3.40 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Tranmere Rovers v Grimsby Town: prediction and result

Tranmere Rovers hosted Grimsby Town in the League Two on Saturday 2 May, and it finished 1–1.

Tranmere Rovers are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Milton Keynes Dons.

Grimsby Town are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Swindon Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for Tranmere, 3.40 for the draw and 2.15 for Grimsby. The bookmakers make Grimsby Town favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Grimsby Town to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.04, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.