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Portsmouth v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 2 May, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Birmingham City to win 41%
Portsmouth 31% Draw 28% Birmingham 41%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.47 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games W W W L W
1–0 at MID 2–0 v IPS 1–0 v LEI 1–5 at CVC 3–1 at STK
Birmingham City All games L W D W W
1–2 at IPS 2–0 v WXH 1–1 at HUL 2–1 v PNE 2–1 v BSC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Portsmouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Birmingham City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawBirmingham
Betfair 3.75 2.63 2.38
bet365 3.50 3.50 2.00
WilliamHill 3.40 3.40 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 2 May, and it finished 1–1.

Portsmouth are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Stoke City.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Bristol City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.75 for Portsmouth, 3.50 for the draw and 2.38 for Birmingham. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.47. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.