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Reading v Blackpool prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Reading to win 42%
Reading 42% Draw 27% Blackpool 31%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.36 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceReading to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games D L L L D
1–1 at HDD 1–2 v LNC 0–1 at DNR 1–3 v CDF 1–1 at RTU
Blackpool All games W L W W W
1–0 v EXE 0–1 at STV 3–1 v PTU 1–0 at WYC 1–0 v LEY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 5 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Blackpool's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawBlackpool
Betfair 2.38 3.50 2.75
bet365 2.30 3.40 2.90
WilliamHill 2.25 3.40 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Blackpool: prediction and result

Reading hosted Blackpool in the League One on Saturday 2 May, and Blackpool won 0–1 away from home.

Reading are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Rotherham United.

Blackpool are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Leyton Orient.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.38 for Reading, 3.50 for the draw and 2.90 for Blackpool. The bookmakers make Reading favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Reading to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.36, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.