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Watford v Coventry City prediction

Sat 2 May, 12:30 Championship Full time 0–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Coventry City to win 41%
Watford 33% Draw 26% Coventry 41%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.46 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCoventry City to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Watford All games D L L L L
1–1 v CHA 0–2 at OXF 0–2 v SHU 0–3 at WBA 1–5 at MID
Coventry City All games D D D W W
0–0 at HUL 0–0 v SHF 1–1 at BBR 5–1 v PTM 3–1 v WXH

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Watford's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Coventry City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWatfordDrawCoventry
WilliamHill 2.80 3.50 2.30
Betfair 2.75 3.25 2.38
bet365 2.70 3.70 2.37
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Watford v Coventry City: prediction and result

Watford hosted Coventry City in the Championship on Saturday 2 May, and Coventry City won 0–4 away from home.

Watford are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 1–5 defeat away at Middlesbrough.

Coventry City are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Wrexham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Watford, 3.70 for the draw and 2.38 for Coventry. The bookmakers make Coventry City favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Coventry City to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.46. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.