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Fulham v AFC Bournemouth prediction

Sat 9 May, 15:00 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Fulham to win 39%
Fulham 39% Draw 26% AFC Bournemouth 35%
Best price2.70 WilliamHill Fair price2.57 from our 39%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceFulham to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Fulham All games W L D W L
3–1 v BUR 0–2 at LIV 0–0 at BRE 1–0 v AVL 0–3 at ARS
AFC Bournemouth All games D W W D W
2–2 v MUN 2–1 at ARS 2–1 at NEW 2–2 v LEE 3–0 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 4 of Fulham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerFulhamDrawAFC Bournemouth
WilliamHill 2.70 3.40 2.45
bet365 2.70 3.60 2.45
Betfair 2.63 3.50 2.38
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Fulham v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Fulham hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May, and AFC Bournemouth won 0–1 away from home.

Fulham are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Arsenal.

AFC Bournemouth are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Fulham, 3.60 for the draw and 2.45 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers see little between AFC Bournemouth and Fulham here.

Our prediction: Fulham to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.70 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.57, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.