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Liverpool v Chelsea prediction

Sat 9 May, 12:30 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 50%
Liverpool 50% Draw 23% Chelsea 26%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price1.99 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games L W W W L
1–2 at BHA 2–0 v FUL 2–1 at EVE 3–1 v CRY 2–3 at MUN
Chelsea All games L L L L L
0–3 at EVE 0–3 v MCI 0–1 v MUN 0–3 at BHA 1–3 v NFO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes65% Both teams scored in 5 of Liverpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Chelsea's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawChelsea
WilliamHill 2.05 3.70 3.25
bet365 2.00 3.75 3.40
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Chelsea: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May, and it finished 1–1.

Liverpool are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Manchester United.

Chelsea are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Nottingham Forest.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Liverpool, 3.75 for the draw and 3.50 for Chelsea. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.