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Manchester City v Brentford prediction

Sat 9 May, 17:30 Premier League Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 69%
Man City 69% Draw 18% Brentford 13%
Best price1.36 bet365 Fair price1.45 from our 69%

How we got to 69%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 70%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 68%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 69%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester City All games D W W W D
1–1 at WHU 3–0 at CHE 2–1 v ARS 1–0 at BUR 3–3 at EVE
Brentford All games D D D L W
0–0 at LEE 2–2 v EVE 0–0 v FUL 1–2 at MUN 3–0 v WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 4 of Manchester City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Brentford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan CityDrawBrentford
bet365 1.36 5.50 7.00
WilliamHill 1.35 5.00 7.50
Betfair 1.33 5.50 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester City v Brentford: prediction and result

Manchester City hosted Brentford in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May and won 3–0.

Manchester City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw away at Everton.

Brentford are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.36 for Man City, 5.50 for the draw and 8.00 for Brentford. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 71% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 69% chance. The market puts it at 70% and our match model at 68%, and blending those with recent form gives 69%. The best price, 1.36 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.45. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.