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Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United prediction

Sun 10 May, 14:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Newcastle United to win 38%
Nott'm Forest 35% Draw 27% Newcastle 38%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.61 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 31%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Nottingham Forest All games W D W W W
3–0 at TOT 1–1 v AVL 4–1 v BUR 5–0 at SUN 3–1 at CHE
Newcastle United All games L L L L W
1–2 v SUN 1–2 at CRY 1–2 v BOU 0–1 at ARS 3–1 v BHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 3 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNott'm ForestDrawNewcastle
Betfair 3.40 3.30 2.15
bet365 3.40 3.40 2.15
WilliamHill 3.20 3.30 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Nottingham Forest hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Sunday 10 May, and it finished 1–1.

Nottingham Forest are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 16 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Chelsea.

Newcastle United are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Brighton & Hove Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.40 for Nott'm Forest, 3.40 for the draw and 2.20 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 31%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.61. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.