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AFC Bournemouth v Everton prediction

Tue 2 Dec, 19:30 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Bournemouth to win 47%
AFC Bournemouth 47% Draw 26% Everton 27%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.12 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Bournemouth to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Bournemouth All games W L L D L
2–0 v NFO 1–3 at MCI 0–4 at AVL 2–2 v WHU 2–3 at SUN
Everton All games L D W W L
0–3 v TOT 1–1 at SUN 2–0 v FUL 1–0 at MUN 1–4 v NEW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 1 of AFC Bournemouth's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Everton's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC BournemouthDrawEverton
WilliamHill 2.20 3.30 3.30
bet365 2.15 3.50 3.30
Betfair 2.10 3.25 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Bournemouth v Everton: prediction and result

AFC Bournemouth hosted Everton in the Premier League on Tuesday 2 December, and Everton won 0–1 away from home.

AFC Bournemouth are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Sunderland.

Everton are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat at home to Newcastle United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for AFC Bournemouth, 3.50 for the draw and 3.30 for Everton. The bookmakers make AFC Bournemouth favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.12, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.