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Leeds United v Chelsea prediction

Wed 3 Dec, 20:15 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chelsea to win 45%
Leeds 29% Draw 26% Chelsea 45%
Best price1.95 bet365 Fair price2.22 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leeds United All games W L L L L
2–1 v WHU 0–3 at BHA 1–3 at NFO 1–2 v AVL 2–3 at MCI
Chelsea All games L W W W D
1–2 v SUN 1–0 at TOT 3–0 v WOL 2–0 at BUR 1–1 v ARS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Leeds United's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Chelsea's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeedsDrawChelsea
WilliamHill 3.90 3.50 1.85
bet365 3.90 3.50 1.95
Betfair 3.75 3.25 1.85
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leeds United v Chelsea: prediction and result

Leeds United hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Wednesday 3 December and won 3–1.

Leeds United are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Manchester City.

Chelsea are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Arsenal.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.90 for Leeds, 3.50 for the draw and 1.95 for Chelsea. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 1.95 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.22. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.