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Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Tue 2 Dec, 20:15 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Newcastle United to win 54%
Newcastle 54% Draw 24% Tottenham 22%
Best price1.85 bet365 Fair price1.85 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 58%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games W L L W W
2–1 v FUL 1–3 at WHU 1–3 at BRE 2–1 v MCI 4–1 at EVE
Tottenham Hotspur All games W L D L L
3–0 at EVE 0–1 v CHE 2–2 v MUN 1–4 at ARS 1–2 v FUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 2 of Newcastle United's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawTottenham
bet365 1.85 3.75 4.00
WilliamHill 1.80 3.70 4.20
Betfair 1.75 3.50 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Tuesday 2 December, and it finished 2–2.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win away at Everton.

Tottenham Hotspur are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Fulham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Newcastle, 3.75 for the draw and 4.20 for Tottenham. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 58%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.85 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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4–5 FT Fulham v Manchester City Manchester City to win 55% 0–1 FT AFC Bournemouth v Everton AFC Bournemouth to win 47% 2–0 FT Arsenal v Brentford Arsenal to win 68% 0–1 FT Burnley v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win 53% 3–4 FT Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa Brighton & Hove Albion to win 44% 0–1 FT Wolverhampton Wanderers v Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest to win 43% 1–1 FT Liverpool v Sunderland Liverpool to win 66% 3–1 FT Leeds United v Chelsea Chelsea to win 45%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.