How we got to 53%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Burnley
All games
W
L
L
L
L
Crystal Palace
All games
L
W
D
W
L
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersBurnley v Crystal Palace: prediction and result
Burnley hosted Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Wednesday 3 December, and Crystal Palace won 0–1 away from home.
Burnley are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Brentford.
Crystal Palace are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Manchester United.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.00 for Burnley, 3.75 for the draw and 1.73 for Crystal Palace. The bookmakers make Crystal Palace favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Crystal Palace to win, with a 53% chance. The market puts it at 55% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 53%. The best price, 1.73 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.88. The pick won.
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