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Liverpool v Sunderland prediction

Wed 3 Dec, 20:15 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 66%
Liverpool 66% Draw 19% Sunderland 15%
Best price1.36 WilliamHill Fair price1.51 from our 66%

How we got to 66%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 70%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 61%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 66%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games L W L L W
2–3 at BRE 2–0 v AVL 0–3 at MCI 0–3 v NFO 2–0 at WHU
Sunderland All games W D D L W
2–1 at CHE 1–1 v EVE 2–2 v ARS 0–1 at FUL 3–2 v BOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 1 of Liverpool's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Sunderland's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawSunderland
WilliamHill 1.36 5.00 8.00
bet365 1.36 5.50 7.00
Betfair 1.28 5.00 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Sunderland: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Sunderland in the Premier League on Wednesday 3 December, and it finished 1–1.

Liverpool are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at West Ham United.

Sunderland are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to AFC Bournemouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.36 for Liverpool, 5.50 for the draw and 8.00 for Sunderland. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 71% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 66% chance. The market puts it at 70% and our match model at 61%, and blending those with recent form gives 66%. The best price, 1.36 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.51. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.