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Leeds United v Liverpool prediction

Sat 6 Dec, 17:30 Premier League Full time 3–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 49%
Leeds 26% Draw 25% Liverpool 49%
Best price1.80 WilliamHill Fair price2.04 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leeds United All games L L L L W
0–3 at BHA 1–3 at NFO 1–2 v AVL 2–3 at MCI 3–1 v CHE
Liverpool All games W L L W D
2–0 v AVL 0–3 at MCI 0–3 v NFO 2–0 at WHU 1–1 v SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Leeds United's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Liverpool's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeedsDrawLiverpool
bet365 4.50 4.00 1.72
WilliamHill 4.20 3.75 1.80
Betfair 4.00 3.50 1.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leeds United v Liverpool: prediction and result

Leeds United hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 6 December, and it finished 3–3.

Leeds United are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Chelsea.

Liverpool are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.50 for Leeds, 4.00 for the draw and 1.80 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.80 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.04. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.