Newcastle United v Burnley Prediction and Tips, 6 Dec 2025

How we got to 67%

Three sources, blended. How it works →

Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 73%

Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 58%

Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —

Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 67%

Form

Last 5, oldest first

Newcastle United All games L L W W D

1–3 at WHU 1–3 at BRE 2–1 v MCI 4–1 at EVE 2–2 v TOT

Burnley All games L L L L L

0–2 v ARS 2–3 at WHU 0–2 v CHE 1–3 at BRE 0–1 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time

BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Newcastle United's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Burnley's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers

BookmakerNewcastleDrawBurnley

WilliamHill 1.30 5.00 10.00

bet365 1.30 5.50 9.50

Betfair 1.22 5.50 10.00

Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Burnley: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday 6 December and won 2–1.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.30 for Newcastle, 5.50 for the draw and 10.00 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 73% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 67% chance. The market puts it at 73% and our match model at 58%, and blending those with recent form gives 67%. The best price, 1.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.49. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →

4–5 FT Fulham v Manchester City Manchester City to win 55% 0–1 FT AFC Bournemouth v Everton AFC Bournemouth to win 47% 2–2 FT Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur Newcastle United to win 54% 2–0 FT Arsenal v Brentford Arsenal to win 68% 0–1 FT Burnley v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win 53% 3–4 FT Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa Brighton & Hove Albion to win 44% 0–1 FT Wolverhampton Wanderers v Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest to win 43% 1–1 FT Liverpool v Sunderland Liverpool to win 66%

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.

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