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Exeter City v Barnsley prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Barnsley to win 38%
Exeter 35% Draw 27% Barnsley 38%
Best price2.40 Betfair Fair price2.65 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnsley to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games D L L W L
1–1 v WIG 1–2 at LEY 0–1 at BDC 1–0 v AWM 1–2 at BOL
Barnsley All games W W D L W
2–1 at DNR 5–0 v LUT 1–1 at STO 1–3 at LNC 3–2 v LEY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 2 of Exeter City's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Barnsley's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawBarnsley
WilliamHill 2.90 3.30 2.30
Betfair 2.90 3.40 2.40
bet365 2.90 3.40 2.35
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v Barnsley: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted Barnsley in the League One on Saturday 20 December and won 3–0.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Bolton Wanderers.

Barnsley are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Leyton Orient.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Exeter, 3.40 for the draw and 2.40 for Barnsley. The bookmakers make Barnsley favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnsley to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.40 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.65. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.