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Brighton & Hove Albion v Burnley prediction

Sat 3 Jan, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 63%
Brighton 63% Draw 22% Burnley 15%
Best price1.44 WilliamHill Fair price1.58 from our 63%

How we got to 63%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 65%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 60%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 63%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brighton & Hove Albion All games D L D L D
1–1 v WHU 0–2 at LIV 0–0 v SUN 1–2 at ARS 2–2 at WHU
Burnley All games L L D D L
1–2 at NEW 2–3 v FUL 1–1 at BOU 0–0 v EVE 1–3 v NEW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 4 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Burnley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrightonDrawBurnley
WilliamHill 1.44 4.33 6.50
Betfair 1.44 4.60 7.50
bet365 1.44 4.50 7.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Burnley: prediction and result

Brighton & Hove Albion hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday 3 January and won 2–0.

Brighton & Hove Albion are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at West Ham United.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Newcastle United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.44 for Brighton, 4.60 for the draw and 7.50 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 66% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 63% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 60%, and blending those with recent form gives 63%. The best price, 1.44 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.58. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →
2–2 FT Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Chelsea to win 62% 1–3 FT Burnley v Newcastle United Newcastle United to win 54% 2–2 FT West Ham United v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion to win 49% 0–2 FT Nottingham Forest v Everton Nottingham Forest to win 46% 1–1 FT Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers Manchester United to win 68% 4–1 FT Arsenal v Aston Villa Arsenal to win 67% 0–0 FT Liverpool v Leeds United Liverpool to win 62% 1–1 FT Crystal Palace v Fulham Crystal Palace to win 39%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.