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Everton v Brentford prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Everton to win 40%
Everton 40% Draw 28% Brentford 32%
Best price2.50 Betfair Fair price2.50 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceEverton to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Everton All games W L L D W
3–0 v NFO 0–2 at CHE 0–1 v ARS 0–0 at BUR 2–0 at NFO
Brentford All games L D W W D
0–2 at TOT 1–1 v LEE 2–0 at WOL 4–1 v BOU 0–0 v TOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 2 of Everton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Brentford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerEvertonDrawBrentford
Betfair 2.50 3.20 3.10
bet365 2.45 3.20 3.10
WilliamHill 2.40 3.10 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Everton v Brentford: prediction and result

Everton hosted Brentford in the Premier League on Sunday 4 January, and Brentford won 2–4 away from home.

Everton are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Nottingham Forest.

Brentford are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Everton, 3.20 for the draw and 3.10 for Brentford. The bookmakers make Everton favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Everton to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.50 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.50. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.