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Fulham v Liverpool prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:15 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 51%
Fulham 24% Draw 25% Liverpool 51%
Best price1.90 Betfair Fair price1.95 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Fulham All games L W W W D
1–2 v CRY 3–2 at BUR 1–0 v NFO 1–0 at WHU 1–1 at CRY
Liverpool All games D W W W D
3–3 at LEE 2–0 v BHA 2–1 at TOT 2–1 v WOL 0–0 v LEE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 2 of Fulham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Liverpool's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerFulhamDrawLiverpool
Betfair 4.20 3.60 1.90
bet365 4.10 3.60 1.85
WilliamHill 4.00 3.40 1.85
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Fulham v Liverpool: prediction and result

Fulham hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday 4 January, and it finished 2–2.

Fulham are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Crystal Palace.

Liverpool are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Leeds United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.20 for Fulham, 3.60 for the draw and 1.90 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 51% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.90 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.95. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.