Leeds United v Manchester United Prediction and Tips, 4 Jan 2026

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →

Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%

Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%

Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —

Blended chanceLeeds United to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first

Leeds United All games D D W D D

3–3 v LIV 1–1 at BRE 4–1 v CRY 1–1 at SUN 0–0 at LIV

Manchester United All games W D L W D

4–1 at WOL 4–4 v BOU 1–2 at AVL 1–0 v NEW 1–1 v WOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time

BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Manchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers

BookmakerLeedsDrawMan United

Betfair 2.75 3.30 2.63

bet365 2.75 3.10 2.62

WilliamHill 2.70 3.10 2.50

Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leeds United v Manchester United: prediction and result

Leeds United hosted Manchester United in the Premier League on Sunday 4 January, and it finished 1–1.

Leeds United are in decent form: 1 won, 4 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Liverpool.

Manchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.75 for Leeds, 3.30 for the draw and 2.63 for Man United. The bookmakers see little between Manchester United and Leeds United here.

Our prediction: Leeds United to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.75 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.66, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →

2–2 FT Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Chelsea to win 62% 1–3 FT Burnley v Newcastle United Newcastle United to win 54% 2–2 FT West Ham United v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion to win 49% 0–2 FT Nottingham Forest v Everton Nottingham Forest to win 46% 1–1 FT Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers Manchester United to win 68% 4–1 FT Arsenal v Aston Villa Arsenal to win 67% 0–0 FT Liverpool v Leeds United Liverpool to win 62% 1–1 FT Crystal Palace v Fulham Crystal Palace to win 39%

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.

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