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Newcastle United v Crystal Palace prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Newcastle United to win 51%
Newcastle 51% Draw 24% Crystal Palace 24%
Best price1.70 Betfair Fair price1.94 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 56%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games W L D L W
2–1 v BUR 0–1 at SUN 2–2 v CHE 0–1 at MUN 3–1 at BUR
Crystal Palace All games W L L L D
2–1 at FUL 0–3 v MCI 1–4 at LEE 0–1 v TOT 1–1 v FUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 5 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Crystal Palace's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawCrystal Palace
Betfair 1.70 3.90 5.00
WilliamHill 1.67 3.70 4.80
bet365 1.66 4.10 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Crystal Palace: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sunday 4 January and won 2–0.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Burnley.

Crystal Palace are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Fulham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.70 for Newcastle, 4.10 for the draw and 5.00 for Crystal Palace. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 57% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 56% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.70 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.94. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →
2–2 FT Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Chelsea to win 62% 1–3 FT Burnley v Newcastle United Newcastle United to win 54% 2–2 FT West Ham United v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion to win 49% 0–2 FT Nottingham Forest v Everton Nottingham Forest to win 46% 1–1 FT Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers Manchester United to win 68% 4–1 FT Arsenal v Aston Villa Arsenal to win 67% 0–0 FT Liverpool v Leeds United Liverpool to win 62% 1–1 FT Crystal Palace v Fulham Crystal Palace to win 39%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.