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Tottenham Hotspur v Sunderland prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Tottenham Hotspur to win 49%
Tottenham 49% Draw 26% Sunderland 24%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price2.03 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceTottenham Hotspur to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Tottenham Hotspur All games W L L W D
2–0 v BRE 0–3 at NFO 1–2 v LIV 1–0 at CRY 0–0 at BRE
Sunderland All games L W D D D
0–3 at MCI 1–0 v NEW 0–0 at BHA 1–1 v LEE 0–0 v MCI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 4 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Sunderland's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerTottenhamDrawSunderland
WilliamHill 1.95 3.30 3.80
Betfair 1.95 3.30 4.00
bet365 1.95 3.50 3.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Tottenham Hotspur v Sunderland: prediction and result

Tottenham Hotspur hosted Sunderland in the Premier League on Sunday 4 January, and it finished 1–1.

Tottenham Hotspur are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Brentford.

Sunderland are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Manchester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Tottenham, 3.50 for the draw and 4.00 for Sunderland. The bookmakers make Tottenham Hotspur favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.03. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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2–2 FT Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Chelsea to win 62% 1–3 FT Burnley v Newcastle United Newcastle United to win 54% 2–2 FT West Ham United v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion to win 49% 0–2 FT Nottingham Forest v Everton Nottingham Forest to win 46% 1–1 FT Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers Manchester United to win 68% 4–1 FT Arsenal v Aston Villa Arsenal to win 67% 0–0 FT Liverpool v Leeds United Liverpool to win 62% 1–1 FT Crystal Palace v Fulham Crystal Palace to win 39%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.