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Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal prediction

Sun 22 Feb, 16:30 Premier League Full time 1–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 64%
Tottenham 14% Draw 22% Arsenal 64%
Best price1.44 WilliamHill Fair price1.55 from our 64%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 65%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 63%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 64%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Tottenham Hotspur All games L D D L L
1–2 v WHU 2–2 at BUR 2–2 v MCI 0–2 at MUN 1–2 v NEW
Arsenal All games L W W D D
2–3 v MUN 4–0 at LEE 3–0 v SUN 1–1 at BRE 2–2 at WOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 5 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Arsenal's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerTottenhamDrawArsenal
Betfair 7.50 4.20 1.44
bet365 7.50 4.50 1.40
WilliamHill 6.50 4.00 1.44
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal: prediction and result

Tottenham Hotspur hosted Arsenal in the Premier League on Sunday 22 February, and Arsenal won 1–4 away from home.

Tottenham Hotspur are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Newcastle United.

Arsenal are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 7.50 for Tottenham, 4.50 for the draw and 1.44 for Arsenal. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 66% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 64% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 63%, and blending those with recent form gives 64%. The best price, 1.44 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.55. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.