How we got to 64%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Tottenham Hotspur
All games
L
D
D
L
L
Arsenal
All games
L
W
W
D
D
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersTottenham Hotspur v Arsenal: prediction and result
Tottenham Hotspur hosted Arsenal in the Premier League on Sunday 22 February, and Arsenal won 1–4 away from home.
Tottenham Hotspur are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Newcastle United.
Arsenal are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 7.50 for Tottenham, 4.50 for the draw and 1.44 for Arsenal. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 66% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 64% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 63%, and blending those with recent form gives 64%. The best price, 1.44 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.55. The pick won.
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