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Arsenal v Chelsea prediction

Sun 1 Mar, 16:30 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 59%
Arsenal 59% Draw 23% Chelsea 18%
Best price1.53 bet365 Fair price1.70 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 62%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Arsenal All games W W D D W
4–0 at LEE 3–0 v SUN 1–1 at BRE 2–2 at WOL 4–1 at TOT
Chelsea All games W W W D D
3–1 at CRY 3–2 v WHU 3–1 at WOL 2–2 v LEE 1–1 v BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Chelsea's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerArsenalDrawChelsea
bet365 1.53 4.20 6.00
WilliamHill 1.50 4.20 5.80
Betfair 1.50 4.33 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Arsenal v Chelsea: prediction and result

Arsenal hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Sunday 1 March and won 2–1.

Arsenal are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win away at Tottenham Hotspur.

Chelsea are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Burnley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.53 for Arsenal, 4.33 for the draw and 6.00 for Chelsea. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 62% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.53 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.70. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.