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AFC Bournemouth v Manchester United prediction

Fri 20 Mar, 20:00 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester United to win 42%
AFC Bournemouth 31% Draw 27% Man United 42%
Best price2.25 Betfair Fair price2.40 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Bournemouth All games W D D D D
2–1 at EVE 0–0 at WHU 1–1 v SUN 0–0 v BRE 0–0 at BUR
Manchester United All games D W W L W
1–1 at WHU 1–0 at EVE 2–1 v CRY 1–2 at NEW 3–1 v AVL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes63% Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC BournemouthDrawMan United
Betfair 3.25 3.00 2.25
WilliamHill 3.10 3.50 2.10
bet365 3.10 3.75 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Bournemouth v Manchester United: prediction and result

AFC Bournemouth hosted Manchester United in the Premier League on Friday 20 March, and it finished 2–2.

AFC Bournemouth are in decent form: 1 won, 4 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Burnley.

Manchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Aston Villa.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for AFC Bournemouth, 3.75 for the draw and 2.25 for Man United. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.25 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.40. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.