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Aston Villa v West Ham United prediction

Sun 22 Mar, 14:15 Premier League Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Aston Villa to win 54%
Aston Villa 54% Draw 24% West Ham 22%
Best price1.80 Betfair Fair price1.86 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAston Villa to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Aston Villa All games W D L L L
1–0 v BHA 1–1 v LEE 0–2 at WOL 1–4 v CHE 1–3 at MUN
West Ham United All games D D L W D
1–1 v MUN 0–0 v BOU 2–5 at LIV 1–0 at FUL 1–1 v MCI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of West Ham United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAston VillaDrawWest Ham
Betfair 1.80 3.50 4.20
bet365 1.80 3.75 4.50
WilliamHill 1.75 3.60 4.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v West Ham United: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted West Ham United in the Premier League on Sunday 22 March and won 2–0.

Aston Villa are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Manchester United.

West Ham United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Manchester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.80 for Aston Villa, 3.75 for the draw and 4.50 for West Ham. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.80 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.86. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.