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Newcastle United v Sunderland prediction

Sun 22 Mar, 12:00 Premier League Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Newcastle United to win 56%
Newcastle 56% Draw 24% Sunderland 20%
Best price1.55 bet365 Fair price1.78 from our 56%

How we got to 56%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 56%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games W L L W W
2–1 at TOT 1–2 at MCI 2–3 v EVE 2–1 v MUN 1–0 at CHE
Sunderland All games L L D W L
0–1 v LIV 1–3 v FUL 1–1 at BOU 1–0 at LEE 0–1 v BHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Sunderland's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawSunderland
bet365 1.55 4.20 6.00
WilliamHill 1.53 4.00 5.80
Betfair 1.53 4.00 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Sunderland: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Sunderland in the Premier League on Sunday 22 March, and Sunderland won 1–2 away from home.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Chelsea.

Sunderland are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Brighton & Hove Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.55 for Newcastle, 4.20 for the draw and 6.00 for Sunderland. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 61% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 56% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 56%. The best price, 1.55 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.78. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.