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Fulham v Burnley prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Fulham to win 57%
Fulham 57% Draw 23% Burnley 20%
Best price1.73 Betfair Fair price1.75 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceFulham to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Fulham All games L W W L D
0–3 at MCI 3–1 at SUN 2–1 v TOT 0–1 v WHU 0–0 at NFO
Burnley All games W D L L D
3–2 at CRY 1–1 at CHE 3–4 v BRE 0–2 at EVE 0–0 v BOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 5 of Fulham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Burnley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerFulhamDrawBurnley
Betfair 1.73 3.50 4.50
WilliamHill 1.50 4.00 6.00
bet365 1.50 4.20 6.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Fulham v Burnley: prediction and result

Fulham hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday 21 March and won 3–1.

Fulham are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Nottingham Forest.

Burnley are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to AFC Bournemouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.73 for Fulham, 4.20 for the draw and 6.25 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Fulham favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Fulham to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.73 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.75. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.