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Brighton & Hove Albion v Liverpool prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 12:45 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 43%
Brighton 30% Draw 26% Liverpool 43%
Best price2.20 bet365 Fair price2.30 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brighton & Hove Albion All games L W W L W
0–1 at AVL 2–0 at BRE 2–1 v NFO 0–1 v ARS 1–0 at SUN
Liverpool All games W W W L D
1–0 at SUN 1–0 at NFO 5–2 v WHU 1–2 at WOL 1–1 v TOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 3 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Liverpool's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrightonDrawLiverpool
Betfair 3.10 3.60 2.15
bet365 3.10 3.60 2.20
WilliamHill 3.00 3.50 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Liverpool: prediction and result

Brighton & Hove Albion hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 21 March and won 2–1.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Sunderland.

Liverpool are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Brighton, 3.60 for the draw and 2.20 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.20 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.30. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.