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Everton v Chelsea prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 17:30 Premier League Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chelsea to win 40%
Everton 33% Draw 27% Chelsea 40%
Best price4.50 Betfair Fair price2.50 from our 40%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Everton All games L L W W L
1–2 v BOU 0–1 v MUN 3–2 at NEW 2–0 v BUR 0–2 at ARS
Chelsea All games D D L W L
2–2 v LEE 1–1 v BUR 1–2 at ARS 4–1 at AVL 0–1 v NEW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 4 of Everton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Chelsea's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerEvertonDrawChelsea
bet365 3.20 3.30 2.25
WilliamHill 3.00 3.30 2.25
Betfair 1.80 3.50 4.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Everton v Chelsea: prediction and result

Everton hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 21 March and won 3–0.

Everton are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Arsenal.

Chelsea are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Newcastle United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Everton, 3.50 for the draw and 4.50 for Chelsea. The bookmakers see little between Everton and the draw here.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 4.50 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.50, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.