How we got to 40%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Everton
All games
L
L
W
W
L
Chelsea
All games
D
D
L
W
L
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersEverton v Chelsea: prediction and result
Everton hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 21 March and won 3–0.
Everton are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Arsenal.
Chelsea are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Newcastle United.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Everton, 3.50 for the draw and 4.50 for Chelsea. The bookmakers see little between Everton and the draw here.
Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 4.50 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.50, so there is value in it. The pick lost.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.