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Queens Park Rangers v Portsmouth prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 Championship Full time 6–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Queens Park Rangers to win 40%
QPR 40% Draw 27% Portsmouth 32%
Best price2.90 bet365 Fair price2.48 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceQueens Park Rangers to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Queens Park Rangers All games L L L L W
0–5 at SOU 0–2 v SHU 0–4 v MID 0–1 at BRC 3–1 at LEI
Portsmouth All games L L D L L
1–2 at WXH 0–1 v HUL 1–1 at BBR 1–2 v SWA 0–1 v DRB

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Queens Park Rangers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Portsmouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerQPRDrawPortsmouth
bet365 2.90 3.10 2.50
WilliamHill 2.80 3.00 2.50
Betfair 1.57 3.75 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Queens Park Rangers v Portsmouth: prediction and result

Queens Park Rangers hosted Portsmouth in the Championship on Saturday 21 March and won 6–1.

Queens Park Rangers are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Leicester City.

Portsmouth are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Derby County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for QPR, 3.75 for the draw and 5.50 for Portsmouth. The bookmakers make Queens Park Rangers favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.90 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.48, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.