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Southampton v Blackburn Rovers prediction

Tue 14 Apr, 20:00 Championship Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 59%
Southampton 59% Draw 23% Blackburn 18%
Best price1.50 WilliamHill Fair price1.70 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 63%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W W W W W
2–1 at CVC 1–0 v NOR 2–0 v OXF 5–1 at WXH 2–1 v DRB
Blackburn Rovers All games W D W D D
2–1 at MLW 0–0 v MID 1–0 at BRC 0–0 v WBA 1–1 at STK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 2 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Blackburn Rovers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawBlackburn
WilliamHill 1.50 4.00 6.00
bet365 1.48 4.20 6.25
Betfair 1.44 4.20 7.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Blackburn Rovers: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on Tuesday 14 April and won 3–0.

Southampton are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Derby County.

Blackburn Rovers are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Stoke City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.50 for Southampton, 4.20 for the draw and 7.00 for Blackburn. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 64% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 63% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.50 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.70. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
2–0 FT Portsmouth v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 47% 1–1 FT Blackburn Rovers v Coventry City Coventry City to win 50% 2–0 FT Millwall v Queens Park Rangers Millwall to win 59% 1–0 FT Derby County v Oxford United Derby County to win 55% 1–0 FT Portsmouth v Leicester City Portsmouth to win 38% 2–0 FT Wrexham v Stoke City Wrexham to win 59% 1–1 FT Sheffield Wednesday v Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic to win 52% 1–2 FT Swansea City v Southampton Southampton to win 43%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.