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Portsmouth v Leicester City prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Portsmouth to win 38%
Portsmouth 38% Draw 32% Leicester 29%
Best price3.25 Betfair Fair price2.61 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePortsmouth to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games L D D W W
1–6 at QPR 1–1 at NOR 2–2 v OXF 1–0 at MID 2–0 v IPS
Leicester City All games L D D D L
1–3 v QPR 0–0 at WAT 2–2 v PNE 1–1 at SHF 0–1 v SWA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Portsmouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Leicester City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawLeicester
Betfair 3.25 2.00 3.75
bet365 2.35 3.20 3.00
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Leicester City: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Leicester City in the Championship on Saturday 18 April and won 1–0.

Portsmouth are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Ipswich Town.

Leicester City are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Swansea City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for Portsmouth, 3.20 for the draw and 3.75 for Leicester. The bookmakers see little between the draw and Portsmouth here.

Our prediction: Portsmouth to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 3.25 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.61, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.