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Wrexham v Stoke City prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Wrexham to win 59%
Wrexham 59% Draw 21% Stoke 20%
Best price1.83 WilliamHill Fair price1.69 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 66%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWrexham to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wrexham All games L W D L L
1–3 at WAT 2–1 at SHU 2–2 at WBA 1–5 v SOU 0–2 at BRC
Stoke City All games W L W L D
3–1 v WAT 1–3 at PNE 2–0 v SHF 0–2 at DRB 1–1 v BBR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Wrexham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWrexhamDrawStoke
WilliamHill 1.83 3.60 3.90
bet365 1.70 3.80 4.50
Betfair 1.05 15.00 51.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wrexham v Stoke City: prediction and result

Wrexham hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 18 April and won 2–0.

Wrexham are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Birmingham City.

Stoke City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Blackburn Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Wrexham, 15.00 for the draw and 51.00 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Wrexham favourites, at about 86% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Wrexham to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 66% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.83 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.