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Millwall v Queens Park Rangers prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 12:30 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Millwall to win 59%
Millwall 59% Draw 22% QPR 19%
Best price1.70 WilliamHill Fair price1.70 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 66%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games L D W L D
1–2 v BBR 1–1 at IPS 2–1 at MID 1–2 v NOR 0–0 at WBA
Queens Park Rangers All games W W W D D
3–1 at LEI 6–1 v PTM 2–1 v WAT 1–1 at PNE 0–0 v BSC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Millwall's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Queens Park Rangers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawQPR
WilliamHill 1.70 3.70 4.60
bet365 1.70 3.80 4.75
Betfair 1.05 12.00 34.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Queens Park Rangers: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Queens Park Rangers in the Championship on Saturday 18 April and won 2–0.

Millwall are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at West Bromwich Albion.

Queens Park Rangers are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Bristol City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.70 for Millwall, 12.00 for the draw and 34.00 for QPR. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 84% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 66% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.70 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.