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Swansea City v Southampton prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 43%
Swansea 33% Draw 24% Southampton 43%
Best price3.75 Betfair Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games L L D D W
0–2 at WXH 0–3 v CVC 3–3 at SHU 2–2 v MID 1–0 at LEI
Southampton All games W W W W W
1–0 v NOR 2–0 v OXF 5–1 at WXH 2–1 v DRB 3–0 v BBR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Swansea City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Southampton's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawSouthampton
bet365 4.10 4.33 1.70
WilliamHill 3.90 3.90 1.75
Betfair 1.91 3.50 3.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v Southampton: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted Southampton in the Championship on Saturday 18 April, and Southampton won 1–2 away from home.

Swansea City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Leicester City.

Southampton are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Blackburn Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.10 for Swansea, 4.33 for the draw and 3.75 for Southampton. The bookmakers see little between Southampton and Swansea City here.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 3.75 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.33, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.