How we got to 43%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea
All games
L
W
L
L
L
Manchester United
All games
W
L
W
D
L
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersChelsea v Manchester United: prediction and result
Chelsea hosted Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday 18 April, and Manchester United won 0–1 away from home.
Chelsea are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Manchester City.
Manchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Leeds United.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Chelsea, 3.60 for the draw and 3.25 for Man United. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.20 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.31. The pick lost.
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All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.