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Chelsea v Manchester United prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 20:00 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chelsea to win 43%
Chelsea 43% Draw 26% Man United 31%
Best price2.20 Betfair Fair price2.31 from our 43%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea All games L W L L L
1–2 at ARS 4–1 at AVL 0–1 v NEW 0–3 at EVE 0–3 v MCI
Manchester United All games W L W D L
2–1 v CRY 1–2 at NEW 3–1 v AVL 2–2 at BOU 1–2 v LEE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes62% Both teams scored in 3 of Chelsea's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChelseaDrawMan United
Betfair 2.20 3.50 3.00
WilliamHill 2.15 3.40 3.10
bet365 2.10 3.60 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chelsea v Manchester United: prediction and result

Chelsea hosted Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday 18 April, and Manchester United won 0–1 away from home.

Chelsea are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Manchester City.

Manchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Leeds United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Chelsea, 3.60 for the draw and 3.25 for Man United. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.20 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.31. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.