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Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 17:30 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 40%
Tottenham 35% Draw 25% Brighton 40%
Best price5.00 Betfair Fair price2.47 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Tottenham Hotspur All games L L D L L
1–2 at FUL 1–3 v CRY 1–1 at LIV 0–3 v NFO 0–1 at SUN
Brighton & Hove Albion All games W L W W W
2–1 v NFO 0–1 v ARS 1–0 at SUN 2–1 v LIV 2–0 at BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 5 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerTottenhamDrawBrighton
bet365 3.00 3.90 2.15
WilliamHill 2.90 3.70 2.15
Betfair 1.73 3.25 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Tottenham Hotspur hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 18 April, and it finished 2–2.

Tottenham Hotspur are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Sunderland.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Burnley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Tottenham, 3.90 for the draw and 5.00 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Tottenham Hotspur favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 5.00 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.47, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.