Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth Prediction and Tips, 18 Apr 2026

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →

Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%

Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%

Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —

Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first

Newcastle United All games L W W L L

2–3 v EVE 2–1 v MUN 1–0 at CHE 1–2 v SUN 1–2 at CRY

AFC Bournemouth All games D D D D W

1–1 v SUN 0–0 v BRE 0–0 at BUR 2–2 v MUN 2–1 at ARS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time

BTTS Yes63% Both teams scored in 5 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers

BookmakerNewcastleDrawAFC Bournemouth

WilliamHill 2.20 3.70 2.88

Betfair 2.20 3.60 3.00

bet365 2.15 3.60 3.20

Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday 18 April, and AFC Bournemouth won 1–2 away from home.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Crystal Palace.

AFC Bournemouth are in decent form: 1 won, 4 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Arsenal.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Newcastle, 3.70 for the draw and 3.20 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.35. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →

0–0 FT Brentford v Fulham Brentford to win 46% 3–0 FT Leeds United v Wolverhampton Wanderers Leeds United to win 61% 2–2 FT Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion to win 40% 0–1 FT Chelsea v Manchester United Chelsea to win 43% 4–1 FT Nottingham Forest v Burnley Nottingham Forest to win 61% 4–3 FT Aston Villa v Sunderland Aston Villa to win 57% 1–2 FT Everton v Liverpool Liverpool to win 42% 2–1 FT Manchester City v Arsenal Manchester City to win 47%

See the chance for every fixture. Every fixture ranked, BTTS picks and the acca slip. 7 days free, then £4.99 a month. Start your free week 18+

Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.

Cookie	What it does	How long it lasts
accaagent-session	Keeps you signed in as you move between pages. It holds a random ID only; the session it points to is kept on our servers and can also hold short-lived things such as your acca slip and, until you sign up, which link or ad brought you to the site.	120 minutes after your last visit
XSRF-TOKEN	Protects forms against cross-site request forgery, so another website can't submit a form as you.	The same as your session
remember_web_…	Keeps you signed in between visits. Only set if you tick "Remember me", or sign in with Google.	400 days, or until you sign out
cookie_consent	Remembers that you've seen our cookie notice, so we don't show it on every page.	12 months